Fit distribution to probability plot

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Gustav Lindstrand - 2022-05-23T12:42:18+00:00
Question: Fit distribution to probability plot

Is it possible to fit a Generalized Extreme Value distribution to a probability plot? I've got 31 annual highest values that I have plotted in a probabilty plot using >>probplot(a); and now I want a distribution fitted to the data Points. How can I do this? I've tried using gevfit to find the parameters for the distribution and i tried plotting gevpdf(a,0,107,399) in a probability plot but it didn't give me what I wanted, I just got this: but I want something looking like this:

Expert Answer

Profile picture of Kshitij Singh Kshitij Singh answered . 2025-11-20

It looks like you are looking at comparing the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) with the Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function (ECDF) which is not the same as a probability plot.
 
I'll start by generating some random numbers from an EVD as I do not have your data:
 
rng('default')
a = gevrnd(0,107,399,100,1);

Next we need to fit the parameters of the distribution:

Mdl = fitdist(a,'GeneralizedExtremeValue'); % Returns a PD object (Requires MATLAB later than 2009)

You can then calculate the ECDF: [f,x] = ecdf(a); % plot(x,f)

Then calculate the CDF implied by the fitted parameters:

y = cdf(Mdl,x);
hold on
plot(x,y)
hold off

If you indeed wanted to look at a probability plot, you should know that by default probplot compares the data with a normal distribution. To change this, pass in the name of the distribution:

figure
probplot('extreme value',a)

 


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